Prospective validation of a scoring system for predicting neonatal morbidity after acute perinatal asphyxia,☆☆,,★★

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Abstract

Objective: To prospectively validate a previously reported scoring system for identifying the near-term infant at risk for the multiple organ system sequelae of acute perinatal asphyxia. Study design: Prospective observational study. Setting: Three Denver teaching hospitals, each providing comprehensive obstetric care. Subjects: Newborn infants of 36 weeks or more gestation. Intervention: None. Statistical analysis: Chi-squared analysis with Fisher's exact test. Outcome: Scores consisting of graded abnormalities in fetal heart rate monitoring, umbilical arterial base deficit, and 5-minute Apgar score were calculated by the research nurse after admission of the infant to the nursery (range of possible scores, 0 to 9). A second nurse, blinded to these data, prospectively followed the newborn's hospital course for multiple organ system morbidity. Results: Three thousand two hundred thirty-eight newborns were studied; 366 required neonatal intensive care unit admission. Eleven newborns had a score ≥ 6 (mean umbilical artery pH = 6.98, base deficit = 17.1 mEq/L). Morbidities in these 11 newborns included seizures (2), hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (5), respiratory distress (9), hypotension (7), renal dysfunction (9), hypoglycemia/hypocalcemia (4), and thrombocytopenia or disseminated intravascular coagulopathy (3). The odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for newborns admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit with a score ≥ 6 for having multiple organ system morbidity, defined as three or more affected organ systems, was 38.5 (95% CI, 9.2 to 127.8). The scoring system showed a stronger relationship with multiple organ system morbidity than did isolated individual indicators commonly used to identify asphyxia calculated on the same subjects: for those with pH < 7.00, OR 24 (95% CI, 6.4 to 94.1); base deficit ≥ 10 mEq/L, OR 4.5 (95% CI, 1.9 to 10.3), and 5-minute Apgar score ≤ 3, OR 7.4 (95% CI, 1.3 to 38.1). Conclusion: This scoring system, encompassing both immediate intrapartum and postpartum measures and acid-base status proximate to the time of delivery, is useful for rapidly identifying the term and near-term newborn at risk for multiple organ system morbidity after acute perinatal asphyxia. (J Pediatr 1998;132:619-23)

Section snippets

Methods

Enrollment in this observational study was open to all infants of 36 or more weeks' gestation with available scoring measures at the three participating Denver hospitals (Fitzsimons Army Medical Center, University Hospital, and Denver General Hospital) from October 1988 through October 1990. Each of these hospitals serve diverse obstetric populations with both high-risk and uncomplicated gestations and each has Level II and Level III neonatal intensive care unit capabilities. Electronic FHR

RESULTS

We enrolled 3238 newborns in the study; 366 required NICU care, representing 11.3% of the enrolled newborns. This report encompasses all subjects of ≥36 weeks' gestation requiring NICU care at the participating hospitals. Among those subjects admitted to Level II and III beds, the three most common final diagnoses were rule-out sepsis, unspecified respiratory distress, and hypoglycemia.

The median score of the 366 infants admitted to NICUs was 1, not suggestive of significant asphyxia or great

DISCUSSION

We have demonstrated the validity of a clinical scoring system, encompassing graded abnormalities of intrapartum FHR monitoring, umbilical arterial BD, and the 5-minute Apgar score for identifying newborns ≥ 36 weeks' gestation at risk for the multiple organ system sequelae of acute perinatal asphyxia. By using measures that are both readily available to the clinician and well recognized for their ability to identify at-risk fetuses and newborns, we believe that this scoring system allows for

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    From the Department of Pediatrics, Newborn Medicine Service, Fitzsimons Army Medical Center, Denver, Colorado; Perinatal Clinical Research Center, University Hospital, Denver, Colorado; and Department of Pediatrics, Lubchenco Perinatal Centers, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Denver, Colorado.

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    Supported by Grant No. 5MO1 RR00069 General Clinical Research Centers Program, National Centers for Research Resources, National Institutes of Health.

    Reprint requests: Gerald B. Merenstein, MD, Lubchenco Perinatal Centers, University of Colorado School of Medicine, 4200 East Ninth Ave., Box C-219, Denver, CO 80262.

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