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Prediction of bronchopulmonary dysplasia development
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  • Published on:
    Prediction of bronchopulmonary dysplasia
    • Fahri Ovalı, Neonatologist İstanbul Medeniyet University, Faculty of Medicine

    To the editor;
    We have read the study of Hunt et al. describing the prediction of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) development at 1 week of age. (1). As it is very well known, BPD is a multifactorial disease with different clinical forms such as mild, moderate and severe. Early prediction of the disease is a clinically significant issue, such that early preventive measures may be taken, especially in cases with high risk. In our opinion, basing the prediction of BPD only on the ventilation requirement at 1 week of age is not appropriate. Respiratory distress syndrome and mechanical ventilation are important factors in the development of BPD but mechanical ventilation need is not sufficent enough for prediction in a disease with many risk factors. We had developed a simple clinical scoring system for the prediction of BPD, which takes into account the birthweight, gestational age, gender, hemodynamically signifiicant patent ductus arteriosus (HsPDA), respiratory distress syndrome, hypotension and intraventricular hemorrhage, at 72 hours of postnatal age (2). A score of less than 4 was considered as low, 4-6 as low intermediate, 7-9 as high intermediate and a score of above 9 was considered as high risk, in order to optimize the predictive values of lowest and highest categories. Among these parameters, HsPDA was the most significant one. The receiver operator curves (ROC) was 0.930, the negative predictive value of a score less than 4 were 95,9 whereas a positive pre...

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    Conflict of Interest:
    None declared.