A randomised trial of granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor for neonatal sepsis: outcomes at 2 years
- Neil Marlow1,
- Timothy Morris2,
- Peter Brocklehurst3,
- Robert Carr4,
- Frances M Cowan5,
- Nishma Patel6,
- Stavros Petrou7,
- Maggie E Redshaw8,
- Neena Modi9,
- Caroline Dore2
- 1Institute for Womens Health, University College London, London, UK
- 2MRC Clinical Trials unit, London, UK
- 3Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London, UK
- 4Department of Haematology, Kings College London, London, UK
- 5Department of Paediatrics, Imperial College (Hammersmith Hospital), London, UK
- 6National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- 7CTU, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK
- 8Policy Research Unit in Maternal Health & Care, National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- 9Department of Neonatal Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Correspondence to Neil Marlow, Institute for Womens Health, 74 Huntley Street, University College London WC1E 6AU, UK;
Contributors Investigators NMo, RC, PB and CJD formulated the hypothesis and design of the primary PROGRAMS trial; NMo, RC, PB, CJD and NMa formulated the hypothesis and design of the follow-up study. TM analysed the data with supervision by CJD. SP and NP were responsible for the economic analysis and interpretation. NMa wrote the first draft of this paper and coordinated manuscript revisions and submission. All investigators with FC and MR were involved in management of the 2-year follow-up study, interpretation of data, and writing the report. All the authors have seen and approved the final version. Two-year outcome study oversight committees: Data Monitoring Committee: D Field, J Hutton, S Saigal, C Bennett; Follow-up Trial Steering Committee Independent Members: M Chiswick, M Deans, S Riddell, M Weindling. Trial hospitals and investigators: Brighton, Royal Sussex County (H Rabe, F Weir); Bristol, Southmead (D Evans), Bristol, St Michaels (P Cairns, A Jain); Cambridge, the Rosie (A Ogilvy-Stuart); Cardiff, University of Wales (S Barr, P Cartlidge); Dundee, Ninewells (P Fowlie); Gillingham, Medway Maritime (B Jani); Glasgow, Princess Royal (A Powls), Ipswich (K O’Neill); Liverpool Women's (C Morgan, M Weindling), London, Chelsea and Westminster (D Acolet, E Ogundipe); London, Guy's & St Thomas' (M Campbell, G Fox, J Rissik); London, Hammersmith (N Murray); London, Hillingdon (M Cruwys); London, Homerton (E Maalouf); London, Newham General (V Gopinathan); London, Northwick Park (R Nicholl); London, University College (J Hawdon); Manchester, St Mary's (A Emmerson); Norwich, Norfolk & Norwich University (P Clarke, J Eason); Nottingham, Queens (S Wardle); Plymouth, Derriford (J Lilley); Portsmouth, St Mary's (R Thwaites); Slough, Wexham Park (R Jones); Swansea, Singleton (J Mathers); Woolwich, Queen Elizabeth (B Al-Rubeyi). Two-year Outcome Study Assessors: Amanda Cundy, Angela Huertas, Huw Jones, Louise Watson, Sajjad Rahman, Andrew Cheew, Ann Humphreys, Leigh Dyet, Angela D’Amore, Georgie Siggers, Lesley McDonald, Nick Wood, Sam Johnson.
- Received 30 November 2011
- Accepted 22 February 2012
- Published Online First 27 April 2012
Objective The authors performed a randomised trial in very preterm small-for-gestational age (SGA) babies to determine if prophylaxis with granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF) improves outcomes (the PROGRAMS trial). Despite increased neutrophil counts following GM-CSF, the authors reported no significant difference in neonatal sepsis-free survival.
Patients and methods 280 babies born <31 weeks of gestation and SGA were entered into the trial. Outcome was determined at 2 years to determine neurodevelopmental and general health outcomes, including economic costs.
Results The authors found no significant differences in health outcomes or health and social care costs between the trial groups. In the GM-CSF arm, 87 of 134 (65%) babies survived to 2 years without severe disability compared with 87 of 131 (66%) controls (RR: 1·0, 95% CI 0·8 to 1·2). Marginally, more children receiving GM-CSF were reported to have cough (RR 1·7, 95% CI 1·1 to 2·6) and had signs of chronic respiratory disease (Harrison's sulcus; RR 2·0, 95% CI 1·0 to 3·9) though this was not reflected in bronchodilator use or need for hospitalisation for respiratory disease. Overall, the rate of neurologic abnormality (7%–9%) was similar but mean overall developmental scores were lower than expected for gestational age.
Conclusions The administration of GM-CSF to very preterm SGA babies is not associated with improved or more adverse outcomes at 2 years of age. The apparent excess of developmental impairment in the entire PROGRAMS cohort, without corresponding increase in neurological abnormality, may represent diffuse brain injury attributable to intrauterine growth restriction.
What is known on this subject:
Neonatal sepsis confers high mortality and morbidity after very preterm birth
Very preterm small-for-gestational age (SGA) babies are at high risk of postnatal neutropenia and sepsis
Postnatal GM-CSF administration increases neutrophil counts but does not reduce neonatal sepsis
What this study adds:
At 2 years, prophylactic administration of GM-CSF does not improve neurodevelopmental or health outcomes
This cohort of SGA babies had lower developmental scores than expected for gestation
A detailed analysis of health and social care costs through 2 years of age
Systemic infection remains a major cause of mortality and morbidity in the newborn period. Of particular concern is the association between the inflammatory response and later risk of developmental delay and neurocognitive impairment, possibly mediated by damage to the periventricular white matter in the perinatal and neonatal periods.1 Interventions aimed at reducing the impact of neonatal sepsis may therefore have longer term benefits in terms of developmental progress, a reduction in disability and consequent economic benefits.
Granulocyte-macrophage colony stimulating factor (GM-CSF) has been shown to be an effective treatment in neutropenia-related infections in patients with cancer after chemotherapy.2 ,3 Neutropenia is common in preterm growth-restricted infants who are at high risk of acquired infection after birth but a Cochrane review has suggested there was inadequate evidence for adoption of GM-CSF in neonatal practice.4 In order to resolve this matter, we undertook PROGRAMS, a single blind, multicentre, randomised trial of GM-CSF in very preterm small-for-gestational age (SGA) babies, to determine whether treatment resulted in reduced infections, mortality and morbidity in the neonatal period: 280 newborn SGA infants of 31 weeks gestational age or less were randomly allocated to GM-CSF or routine treatment within 72 h of birth. Although neutrophil counts were higher in GM-CSF-treated babies, there was no significant difference in sepsis or sepsis-free survival between the two treatment arms,5 in accordance with the findings of the systematic review.4
As part of the original design of the trial, we hypothesised that there might be more subtle benefits over and above short-term outcomes and designed an outcome evaluation at 2 years of age (adjusted for prematurity) to determine whether the administration of GM-CSF in the neonatal period produced differences in survival free of severe disability. Simultaneously, we undertook an economic study to determine the cost benefit of the use of GM-CSF.
Full details of the PROGRAMS trial have been reported earlier.6 Briefly, participants were infants born at a gestational age of ≤31 completed weeks of gestation with birthweight <10th centile (UK 1990 growth reference). An infant was not eligible if there was an immediately life-threatening congenital abnormality, or a strong likelihood of early-onset sepsis, indicated by maternal pyrexia exceeding 38°C on two occasions during labour. The study intervention, GM-CSF, in a dose of 10 µg/kg was given subcutaneously daily for five consecutive days. No placebo injections were administered to the standard treatment arm of the study. Two commercial preparations of recombinant human GM-CSF were used during the study, molgramostim (Leucomax, Novartis, UK) and sargramostim (Leukine, Berlex, California, USA) which have equivalent biological potency for stimulating granulocyte production and function, both in vitro and in vivo.
Two-year outcome evaluation
Contact was maintained with the families of the surviving children following their discharge from hospital. Children were traced and families contacted by the study coordinator. Paediatricians trained and validated in the outcome evaluation methods using a bespoke training course and video rating of developmental assessment techniques, evaluated each child in a clinical setting, usually in a hospital clinic room, but occasionally, at home. The assessment was carried out as close as possible to 2 years of age adjusted for prematurity (target 24 months±2 months) and comprised measures of growth, a formal clinical and neurological examination, developed and validated for use in infants born preterm6 and the Bayley Scales of Infant Development, second edition (BSID-II).7 In addition, parents completed a questionnaire with health and socioeconomic details and the Parent Report of Child Abilities (revised; PARCA-r).8 ,9 Data were recorded on standardised forms and collated centrally. Detailed feedback from the examination was posted to the parents to give to their general practitioner and their paediatrician (if their child was still under the care of a paediatrician).
Disability was classified as defined in ‘Disability and Perinatal Care’10 but excluding malformation (a trial exclusion) and growth domains. Domains assessed were motor, vision, hearing, development and respiratory, renal and gastrointestinal function. Outcomes were classified as either severe disability (any one or more of BSID-II score >3 SD below the mean or severe motor outcome (with inability to sit independently, use hands for feeding or control head, or severe hearing or visual impairment, or no meaningful words or signs; other disabilities (defined as BSID-2 scores −2 to −3 SD, ambulant cerebral palsy (CP), and lesser degrees of sensory loss) or no disability (defined as none of the above and including children with BSID scores of 1–2 SD below the mean)11 Bayley standardised scores were classified in SD bands below −1 SD according to normative data provided by Bayley.7 Growth was measured using standardised equipment, including the Leicester height measure, standard weighing scales (Salter, model 918) and a Lass-o tape measure for head and arm circumference, and referred to UK Child Growth Foundation Standards12 or WHO standards for mid upper arm circumference.13
An economic evaluation, conducted from a NHS and personal social services perspective,14 reported economic outcomes up to 2 years of age. Trial data collection forms, combined with economic questionnaires completed by parents at 6-month intervals, provided a profile of all hospital inpatient and outpatient service use, surgeries performed, investigative tests, medications and community health and social care resource use. Unit costs (£, 2007–2008 prices) collected from primary and secondary sources in accordance with guidelines for costing healthcare services as part of economic evaluation15 were attached to each item of resource use. Cost effectiveness was expressed in two forms: incremental cost per additional severe disability-free survivor and incremental cost per additional disability-free survivor. The non-parametric bootstrap method was used to construct cost-effectiveness acceptability curves at alternative willingness to pay thresholds held by decision makers for the outcomes of interest.16
The sample size for the initial study was based on the short-term primary outcome, survival without sepsis for 14 days from trial entry.5
A CONSORT diagram was constructed, showing the flow of participants through the study.17 Variables were summarised as number (per cent) or median (25th centile–75th centile) for categorical or continuous/ranked data, respectively (none of the continuous variables approached approximate normality). For analysis of outcomes, RRs were used to quantify the effect of treatment on categorical variables. Median differences between treatment groups were calculated for continuous and ranked data; 95% CIs were calculated to quantify uncertainty about RRs and median differences.18
All analyses were done on an intention-to-treat basis, that is, participants were never excluded from analyses on the basis of the treatment received. The participants lost to follow-up or withdrawn were few in number and not included in analyses.
The study was approved by the South Thames Multicentre Research Ethics Committee and by the site-specific review boards of the 26 recruiting centres. Written informed consent was obtained from parents. Trial conduct was overseen by a steering committee and independent Data-Monitoring Committee. This study is registered as an International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial, number ISRCTN42553489.
Of 280 babies enrolled into the study, 279 completed the study intervention, 64 babies died and 203 children (94% survivors) were evaluated at 2 years of age adjusted for prematurity (figure 1). Children were assessed at a median age of 27 months (range: 23–40 months); 64% of each group were seen within the target time window and the remainder were older at their assessment.
There were no systematic differences in study-entry characteristics or outcomes between the 13 infants (five received GM-CSF) who were not followed-up compared with those who were (web table S1). Children who received GM-CSF and controls who were followed-up were well balanced in respect of study-entry criteria, neonatal characteristics and short-term outcomes (table 1) and had similar socioeconomic profiles to the control group (web table S2).
Of the 134 children with known outcomes who received GM-CSF, 84 survived without severe disability compared with 87 of 131 control children (RR 1.0; 95% CI 0.8 to 1.2). The proportion of surviving children without severe disability in the GM-CSF group was 87 of 101 and 87 of 102 in the control group (RR 1.0; 95% CI 0.9 to 1.1); 14 of the GM-CSF group and 13 of the controls were assessed to have severe disability (RR 1.2; 0.5 to 2·.7) and 24 and 19 respectively with other disabilities (RR 1.4; 0.7 to 2.7; table 2). Seven children (three non ambulant) in the GM-CSF group had a motor neurologic abnormality compared with nine controls (six non ambulant). Similar proportions had bilateral spastic CP (three each), dyskinesia (one each), unilateral spastic CP (one GM-CSF); two children who received GM-CSF had unclassifiable neurologic abnormalities compared to six controls (one child in the control arm had both bilateral spastic CP and dyskinesia). Sensory disability was infrequent; only one child had severe visual impairment (control) and none had severe hearing impairment, though three GM-CSF and six control children had no speech or signing at follow-up. There were no significant differences between the two groups in any outcome categories.
The median BSID-II mental development index (MDI) was 84 (IQR: 72–98) in the GM-CSF group and 87 (72–96) in controls and median psychomotor development indices (PDI) were 85 (73–96) and 88 (77–100), respectively. These differences were not statistically significant. There were similar proportions in each of the SD bands (table 3). Of those with severe or other disability, 5 of 12 from the GM-CSF group and 2 of 10 controls were classified as such solely on the basis of their developmental scores.
Parent report of child development using the PARCA-r questionnaire also showed no differences between groups. Growth in height and weight was similarly impaired in both groups (mean weight and height standard deviation scores (SDS) ranging from −1·6 to −1·8). Mean head circumference SDS was −2·1 for both groups (table 3).
Respiratory outcomes at 2 years are shown in table 4. Children who had received GM-CSF were more likely than controls to be reported to have cough (36% vs 22%), wheeze without infection (28% vs 20%) and chest deformity (22% vs 11%), predominantly Harrison's Sulcus indicating chronic respiratory distress though these differences were of marginal or no statistical significance. Similar frequencies of hospital re-admissions after discharge home were reported in the two groups.
There were no significant differences in health and social care costs between the two trial arms (table 5). Mean costs during the 2-year follow-up period were £62 187 in the GM-CSF group and £66 260 in the control group, generating a mean cost difference of £4073 that was not statistically significant (p=0.43). GM-CSF is thus, on average, associated with marginal cost saving, but also marginally poorer outcomes in terms of survival without severe or other disability (negative incremental health effects). When the cost and outcomes data are combined within an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (defined as incremental cost divided by incremental health effect), the mean incremental cost-effectiveness ratio appears in the southwest quadrant of the cost-effectiveness plane (web appendix figure A1). The mean incremental cost-effectiveness ratios within the PROGRAMS trial were £273 955 per additional severe disability-free survivor and £83 239 per additional disability-free survivor. In accordance with methodological guidance (NICE 2008), we also estimated the net monetary benefit of GM-CSF. The actual health benefits produced by GM-CSF were multiplied by alternative willingness to pay values for these benefits, and the net costs were subtracted. This produced a linear scale where a negative is unambiguously bad (the costs outweigh the value placed on the health benefits), and larger benefits are unambiguously better. Using this ‘net-benefit’ approach, we were able to assess the probability that GM-CSF is cost effective across alternative willingness to pay thresholds for the health outcomes of interest. The probability that GM-CSF is cost effective at 2 years never exceeded 0.79, which is below the level normally considered by decision makers as convincing evidence for cost effectiveness.16
We have carried out the first outcome evaluation at 2 years of age corrected for preterm birth for SGA babies randomly allocated to receive GM-CSF to prevent neonatal sepsis. In the treatment group, GM-CSF led to a significant increase in neutrophil count, but as previously reported,5 this did not result in reduced sepsis or increased survival. For the planned 2-year outcome evaluation, reported here, no developmental advantage was evident for the prophylaxis group and rates of disability, developmental score profiles and economic outcomes were very similar between the two groups, leading to the conclusion that GM-CSF is ineffective in improving outcomes to discharge or to 2 years of age.
We achieved a 94% follow-up rate with no systematic bias among dropouts in terms of original study variables. The high follow-up rate and well-validated testing environment mean that this study is unlikely to have missed a significant large beneficial effect despite the compelling reasons for undertaking the trial. The trial was halted for a period while the formulation of the GM-CSF was changed following a strategic decision to cease production by the concerned pharmaceutical firm, but there was no evidence of a differential effect between either of the two preparations of the compound. The outcome measures are clearly defined and well used in major epidemiological studies with good face validity.19 ,20 The Bayley (BSID-II) assessment is considered a robust measure of developmental progress and has been widely used in studies of preterm development and the results of parental report concur.
The PROGRAMS cohort is unique in representing extreme prematurity as well as SGA status. Reports of effects of fetal growth restriction on cognitive outcome are inconsistent21 and there is no reference group for comparison. The proportion of children with disability and the pattern of clinical features in this particularly vulnerable group are thus of wider interest. In a population of extremely preterm babies, one would expect some depression of cognitive scores22,–,24 and this is reflected in our finding of an approximately 1 SD disadvantage in MDI and PDI scores over the normative population for the children in the PROGRAMS trial. The median gestational age of the PROGRAMS cohort was 29–30 weeks. However, their mean MDI and PDI scores (84–87 and 85–88, respectively) were of an equivalent level to those of an epidemiological cohort of babies born at a much greater degree of immaturity, 25 weeks or less, (the EPICure cohort; 84 and 87, respectively)19 and considerably lower than those of a contemporary population of babies born at 31 weeks or less gestational age and enrolled into a randomised trial of parental intervention (the PIP Study: 91–93 and 92–95, respectively).25 In contrast, the rate of neurologic abnormality was, as expected, lower in the PROGRAMS group (7%–9%) compared with the EPICure cohort (24%).19 The same team trained assessors for the PROGRAMS, EPICure and PIP studies and developmental assessment techniques were similar. We therefore speculate that the apparent excess in development impairment seen in the entire PROGRAMS cohort may reflect the vulnerability to global brain injury and developmental delay attributable to fetal growth restriction.
We might have anticipated improvement in neurodevelopment on several counts. First that neonatal sepsis is itself associated with worsened neurodevelopmental outcomes.26 ,27 Modulation of inflammatory mechanisms by GM-CSF might have improved outcomes, not evident during the neonatal period, through subtle alteration of the responses to infection. There is evidence that GM-CSF may be neuroprotective. GM-CSF crosses the blood–brain barrier and counteracts programmed cell death, and in experimental models of stroke was found to decrease damage.28
The only significant difference between the trial groups was the marginally worse respiratory outcomes for the GM-CSF-treated group in terms of recurrent cough and chest deformity. This contrasts with worse short-term markers of neonatal lung disease in the control group. Twenty-three children in the control arm were discharged home with supplemental oxygen compared with 16 in the GM-CSF arm. Babies who are born following fetal growth restriction appear to be at high risk for chronic respiratory disease or bronchopulmonary dysplasia.29,–,31 This is supported by our finding that 40% of the trial population were receiving supplemental oxygen at 36 weeks postmenstrual age.6 Cough and wheeze were marginally more common in the GM-CSF group and more children had chest deformity. However, the implication that ongoing respiratory symptoms are more frequent in the GM-CSF arm of the trial was not reflected in the use of bronchodilators or in any excess need for hospital readmission for respiratory disease. Respiratory signs were not prespecified trial outcomes and the differences may have arisen by chance.
On theoretical grounds, GM-CSF might influence respiratory function in two opposing ways. Acute activation of neutrophils and monocytes in the lungs at the time of administration might lead to lung damage, though this has not been observed in extensive adult clinical practice. Conversely, GM-CSF has been postulated to be protective, though when this effect was tested in adults with acute lung injury through a randomised trial, GM-CSF treatment led to no difference in ventilator days or mortality.32 In the PROGRAMS cohort, an increase in immediate or long-term oxygen requirement was not seen in babies receiving GM-CSF in this or our previous study.4 ,5 The second is the influence of GM-CSF on the balance between TH1 and TH2 immune responses. The newborn immune system is TH1 deficient, hence less effective at mounting antibacterial responses.33 GM-CSF is a TH1 agonist and might be expected to accelerate the switch away from TH2 dominance that in turn might plausibly translate into a reduction in later asthma.34 To our best knowledge, this has never been investigated in a clinical study. This will be of great interest as we continue monitoring respiratory outcomes at 5-year follow-up.
The administration of GM-CSF to very preterm SGA babies is not associated with improved or more adverse developmental or health outcomes at 2 years of age. The apparent excess of developmental impairment in the PROGRAMS cohort, without corresponding increase in neurological abnormality, may represent diffuse brain injury attributable to intrauterine growth restriction. The stability of diagnoses between 2-year assessments and childhood measures of cognitive performance has been questioned recently.35 ,36 Developmental scores may vary widely in individuals even if the proportions within each group remain roughly the same in a preterm population. It is therefore important to evaluate more subtle and predictive outcomes at school age before the hypothesis that GM-CSF has no benefit in this very high-risk population can be rejected.
The authors acknowledge gratefully the contribution of the PROGRAMS administrative team, in particular, the invaluable assistance of Anne Smith, PROGRAMS coordinator responsible for contact and tracing of the participants and for data entry and collation, Liz Schroeder for assistance with the economic analysis and Ursula Bowler, Sarah Ayers and other staff of the National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit which undertook trial administration. Bliss, the premature and sick newborn charity, assisted with trial materials, and the authors thank all parent and infant participants. The trial was sponsored by Imperial College London.
Funding Action Medical Research and the Wellcome Trust; Neil Marlow receives part funding from the Department of Health's NIHR Biomedical Research Centres funding scheme at UCLH/UCL. Robert Carr received part funding from the NIH Biomedical Research Centre at King's College London.
Competing interests None.
Ethics approval South Thames Multicentre Research Ethics Committee.
Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
Data sharing statement Data from this study are still under analysis as a 5-year outcome study is now under way. The database is available for researchers following application to the chief investigator (N Modi) subject to review by the investigators group.
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