Dear Sir
I am writing this letter in reference to the article "Rapid
quantitative procalcitonin measurement to diagnose nosocomial infections
in newborn infants" by Jacquot et al. [1] The aim of this study was to
investigate the diagnostic accuracy of procalcitonin in neonatal
nosocomial infections. However, the flawed methodology and the incomplete
reporting preclude a reliable conclusion with respect to the diagnostic
performance of procalcitonin for ruling out nosocomial sepsis.
With an eye to the study objective, the power calculation should have
been based on the expected sensitivity, specificity, predictive accuracy
and their minimal acceptable lower confidence limit. [2,3]
The authors omitted to report the 95% confidence interval for the
estimates of sensitivity and negative predictive value. This prevents the
reader of appreciating the range within which the true values are likely
to lie [4]. Therefore, I backward calculated the true positive (30), false
positive (15), false negative (0), and true negative (28) test results.
Using a commercial statistical package (Prism 5.0 GraphPad software, San
Diego, CA, USA), the sensitivity (95% CI) can be calculated to be 1
(0.8843 to 1) whereas the accuracy of a negative test is 1 (0.8766 to 1).
As yet, given this (im)precision, procalcitonin cannot be used to
rule out nosocomial infection in the NICU at the moment of suspicion.
References:
1. Jacquot A, Labaune JM, Baum TP, Putet G, Picaud JC. Rapid
quantitative procalcitonin measurement to diagnose nosocomial infections
in newborn infants. Arch Dis Child Fetal Neonatal Ed 2009;94:F345-8.
2. Flahault A, Cadilhac M, Thomas G. Sample size calculation should
be performed for design accuracy in diagnostic test studies. J Clin
Epidemiol 2005;58:859-62.
3. Buderer NM. Statistical methodology: I. Incorporating the
prevalence of disease into the sample size calculation for sensitivity and
specificity. Acad Emerg Med 1996;3:895-900.
4. Harper R, Reeves B. Reporting of precision of estimates for
diagnostic accuracy: a review. BMJ 1999;318:1322-3.
Competing interests: None